WE ARE TRACKING SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AT TIMES THROUGH SUNDAY
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
VERY WARM AND HUMID THROUGH THE WEEKEND
Tonight: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. A few storms could be severe. Mild & muggy. Lows 64-69. South wind 10 mph or less.
Thursday: Very warm and humid. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. A downpour is possible. Highs 84-90. Southwest wind 5-15 mph.
Thursday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows 64-70. Light wind.
Friday: Hot & humid. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs 85-92. West wind 10 mph or less.
We are tracking a summer weather pattern in the StormTrack 5 Weather Center. Moist air from the Gulf of Mexico continues to feed in from the south as a weak front stalled out to our north see some small weather systems move along it and toward the central and southern Appalachians. These small weather systems help spark clusters of showers and thunderstorms, as we will be watching the northwestern sky for these areas of rain and storms through the weekend.
An upper level area of high pressure will provide very warm conditions to our south and west the next several days. Meanwhile, cooler air will begin to settle into the Northeast. This kind of setup will allow for scattered showers and thunderstorms at times through Sunday. Timing the clusters of showers and thunderstorms is difficult more than 12 to 24 hours in advance, so stay with us for the latest Race Week forecast.
When not dealing with a passing shower or thunderstorm, the heat and humidity will be a factor. Make sure you drink plenty of water throughout the week and wear sunscreen if you’re out for extended periods of time (especially for folks at the Appalachian Fair or Bristol Motor Speedway).
On Thursday, we expect more scattered areas of showers and thunderstorms. At this point, the best chance looks to be in the afternoon to evening hours. Some storms could be strong, thanks to high temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. Some places may even hit 90 degrees!
Friday’s rain chances look a little lower than Thursday thanks to the front being displaced further to the north, with the weather pattern not changing much. Hot and humid conditions will continue.
Saturday is when things get a bit complicated, as that ridge continues to build. At the surface, a set up known as damming will form over the northeast, meanwhile a front slips into our region from the northeast. Cooler conditions east of the mountains…warm and humid conditions west of the mountain. This could provide for some scattered showers and thunderstorms. While it seems for now that things will remain hot and humid, eastern areas may be considerably cooler thanks to that damming effect. It is way too far out to say if any showers and storms will impact race-time, but you can bet we will be keeping an eye on that in the StormTrack 5 Weather Center around the clock.
Sunday, that front is west of the area and stalled out. Our rain chances appear to go down to about 30 percent. They will continue to go down as the pattern FINALLY breaks apart during the beginning of next work week. It will still be quite hot, but not as humid.
Temperatures throughout the next seven days will be in the mid to upper 80s to near 90. Low temperatures will generally be in the mid to upper 60s.
As was mentioned before, it’s tough to tell exact details for the races, but here’s a bit of a preview:
6:15pm Bush's Beans 150-Scattered t-showers 82°
8:30pm UNHO 200-A few lingering showers 77°
Food City Race Night on State Street in Bristol
4:00pm Scattered showers and thunderstorms 88°
6:00pm Scattered showers and thunderstorms 85°
8:00pm Scattered showers and thunderstorms 82°
9:00pm Transporter Parade-Scattered showers and thunderstorms 79°
7:30pm Food City 300-Scattered showers and thunderstorms 84°
7:30pm Irwin Tools 500-Scattered showers and thunderstorms 84°
You can get the latest forecast, radar, and severe weather alerts on News 5, WCYB.com, and on the StormTrack 5 weather app.
Our normal high is 85°, low 63°.
Meteorologist Chris Michaels and David Boyd